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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

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SPC Day 1 Outlook

Updates are issued at 0600 UTC, 1300 UTC, 1630 UTC, 2000 UTC, 0100 UTC - Current UTC time: Mar 26 2019 4:32 pm


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Day 2


Categorical Day 1 Outlook

270 
ACUS01 KWNS 261629
SWODY1
SPC AC 261627

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 AM CDT Tue Mar 26 2019

Valid 261630Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon
and evening from far west Texas into central and southern New
Mexico.

...NM/TX...
An upper ridge axis currently extends from northern Mexico northward
along the Rockies into CO/WY.  Water vapor imagery shows increasing
mid/high clouds spreading eastward toward this region as the ridge
breaks down this evening.  In the meantime, full sunshine will help
to warm/destabilize parts of west TX and much of NM as temperatures
warm into the 70s and dewpoints slowly rise.  This will yield
afternoon MLCAPE values of 200-500 J/kg with scattered thunderstorm
development expected.  Weak CAPE and marginal shear values suggest
that activity will be only loosely organized.  However, steep low to
mid-level lapse rates will promote a risk of a few storms capable of
gusty winds and hail.  The area most likely to see strong storms
would be near El Paso, with decreasing risk farther north where
moisture values will be lower.

..Hart/Gleason.. 03/26/2019

$$

        

Day 3

Day 4

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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